Recent forecasts from European weather models, including runs by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, point to overnight lows in Amsterdam near 17–18°C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the dominant market-implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Seasonal baselines for late August average around 15°C, yet current high-pressure stability and warm-air advection have kept readings higher, reducing support for 16°C or below. Official minimum-temperature observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 30. August?
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
13°C or below
41%
14°C
17%
15°C
8%
16°C
20%
17°C
45%
18°C
44%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
13°C or below
41%
14°C
17%
15°C
8%
16°C
20%
17°C
45%
18°C
44%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European weather models, including runs by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, point to overnight lows in Amsterdam near 17–18°C under moderate westerly flow and North Sea influence that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the dominant market-implied probabilities for 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Seasonal baselines for late August average around 15°C, yet current high-pressure stability and warm-air advection have kept readings higher, reducing support for 16°C or below. Official minimum-temperature observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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