Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Amsterdam's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 12–16°C range, with trader consensus clustering on 14–16°C reflecting partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and a building high-pressure system that limits radiative cooling overnight. Atlantic maritime influence keeps values above typical early-September climatological lows near 12°C at Schiphol, while dew points around 11–14°C and light precipitation chances suppress sharper drops. Model runs show limited spread on steering patterns, supporting the tight probability distribution across those central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 1. September?
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
19%
13°C
11%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
10%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
10%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
10°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
11°C
$35 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$11 Vol.
10%
19°C
$10 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$140 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Amsterdam's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 12–16°C range, with trader consensus clustering on 14–16°C reflecting partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and a building high-pressure system that limits radiative cooling overnight. Atlantic maritime influence keeps values above typical early-September climatological lows near 12°C at Schiphol, while dew points around 11–14°C and light precipitation chances suppress sharper drops. Model runs show limited spread on steering patterns, supporting the tight probability distribution across those central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$207Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Amsterdam's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 12–16°C range, with trader consensus clustering on 14–16°C reflecting partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and a building high-pressure system that limits radiative cooling overnight. Atlantic maritime influence keeps values above typical early-September climatological lows near 12°C at Schiphol, while dew points around 11–14°C and light precipitation chances suppress sharper drops. Model runs show limited spread on steering patterns, supporting the tight probability distribution across those central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$207Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Amsterdam's September 1 minimum will likely fall in the 12–16°C range, with trader consensus clustering on 14–16°C reflecting partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and a building high-pressure system that limits radiative cooling overnight. Atlantic maritime influence keeps values above typical early-September climatological lows near 12°C at Schiphol, while dew points around 11–14°C and light precipitation chances suppress sharper drops. Model runs show limited spread on steering patterns, supporting the tight probability distribution across those central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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