Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles have converged on a daytime maximum of 31°C for Tel Aviv on August 17, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent guidance on stable synoptic conditions, including moderate westerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limit both extreme heating and cooling. August climatology for the coastal plain typically features highs near 30°C, providing a baseline against which current runs align closely. Official observations from nearby stations will determine final resolution, so minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized sea-breeze effects remain the primary variables that could shift the recorded peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. August?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,663 Vol.
$42,663 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,663 Vol.
$42,663 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles have converged on a daytime maximum of 31°C for Tel Aviv on August 17, anchoring the market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent guidance on stable synoptic conditions, including moderate westerly flow and minimal cloud cover that limit both extreme heating and cooling. August climatology for the coastal plain typically features highs near 30°C, providing a baseline against which current runs align closely. Official observations from nearby stations will determine final resolution, so minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized sea-breeze effects remain the primary variables that could shift the recorded peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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