Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 17. August?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
$41,802 Vol.
$41,802 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
$41,802 Vol.
$41,802 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
71°F or below
$7,827 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,485 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,526 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,441 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,342 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$3,830 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,656 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,583 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$416 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$41,802Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,802Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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