Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. August?
32°C 49%
31°C 27%
33°C 23%
30°C 1.4%
NEU
$80,212 Vol.
NEU
$80,212 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
27%
32°C
49%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 27%
33°C 23%
30°C 1.4%
NEU
$80,212 Vol.
NEU
$80,212 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,816 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$22,955 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18,104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$11,669 Vol.
27%
32°C
$6,623 Vol.
49%
33°C
$8,477 Vol.
23%
34°C
$2,832 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,781 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$80,212Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$80,212Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen