**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and multi-model guidance positions overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 18, 2026, under typical late-summer monsoon flow.** High humidity (80–90%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in August—restrict radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops. Daytime highs are expected around 31–33°C with cloud cover and precipitation further moderating the diurnal range. HKO’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations show limited variability around 27–28°C. Small shifts in shower timing or localized clear spells could nudge the official HKO daily minimum by ±1°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. No major tropical systems or anomalous steering patterns are currently indicated to alter this baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. August?
28°C 51%
27°C 36%
26°C 6%
25°C 5.6%
NEU
$28,296 Vol.
NEU
$28,296 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
36%
28°C
67%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 36%
26°C 6%
25°C 5.6%
NEU
$28,296 Vol.
NEU
$28,296 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,074 Vol.
1%
25°C
$3,664 Vol.
6%
26°C
$3,337 Vol.
6%
27°C
$5,340 Vol.
36%
28°C
$4,633 Vol.
67%
29°C
$5,370 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and multi-model guidance positions overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 18, 2026, under typical late-summer monsoon flow.** High humidity (80–90%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in August—restrict radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops. Daytime highs are expected around 31–33°C with cloud cover and precipitation further moderating the diurnal range.
HKO’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations show limited variability around 27–28°C. Small shifts in shower timing or localized clear spells could nudge the official HKO daily minimum by ±1°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. No major tropical systems or anomalous steering patterns are currently indicated to alter this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$28,296Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and multi-model guidance positions overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 18, 2026, under typical late-summer monsoon flow.** High humidity (80–90%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in August—restrict radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops. Daytime highs are expected around 31–33°C with cloud cover and precipitation further moderating the diurnal range.
HKO’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations show limited variability around 27–28°C. Small shifts in shower timing or localized clear spells could nudge the official HKO daily minimum by ±1°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. No major tropical systems or anomalous steering patterns are currently indicated to alter this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,296Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and multi-model guidance positions overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 18, 2026, under typical late-summer monsoon flow.** High humidity (80–90%) and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in August—restrict radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops. Daytime highs are expected around 31–33°C with cloud cover and precipitation further moderating the diurnal range. HKO’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations show limited variability around 27–28°C. Small shifts in shower timing or localized clear spells could nudge the official HKO daily minimum by ±1°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. No major tropical systems or anomalous steering patterns are currently indicated to alter this baseline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen