Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with forecast highs for Chicago on August 19 centered in the mid to upper 70s through low 80s—below the 82°F climatological normal. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime radiative heating, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage or lake-breeze effects that could cap peak temperatures. Recent observations show the region running several degrees below average amid post-storm stabilization, while ensemble spreads highlight the narrow margin separating the leading bins and the low probability assigned to readings above 84°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 19. August?
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
67°F oder niedriger
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74–75°F
6%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
7%
86°F oder höher
6%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
67°F oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
6%
74–75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$7 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$18 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
7%
86°F oder höher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with forecast highs for Chicago on August 19 centered in the mid to upper 70s through low 80s—below the 82°F climatological normal. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime radiative heating, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage or lake-breeze effects that could cap peak temperatures. Recent observations show the region running several degrees below average amid post-storm stabilization, while ensemble spreads highlight the narrow margin separating the leading bins and the low probability assigned to readings above 84°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$70Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with forecast highs for Chicago on August 19 centered in the mid to upper 70s through low 80s—below the 82°F climatological normal. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime radiative heating, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage or lake-breeze effects that could cap peak temperatures. Recent observations show the region running several degrees below average amid post-storm stabilization, while ensemble spreads highlight the narrow margin separating the leading bins and the low probability assigned to readings above 84°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$70Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with forecast highs for Chicago on August 19 centered in the mid to upper 70s through low 80s—below the 82°F climatological normal. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime radiative heating, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage or lake-breeze effects that could cap peak temperatures. Recent observations show the region running several degrees below average amid post-storm stabilization, while ensemble spreads highlight the narrow margin separating the leading bins and the low probability assigned to readings above 84°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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