Trader consensus centers on 27°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for August 19, reflecting ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models that project overnight lows of 27–28°C under persistent subtropical high humidity, scattered showers, and limited radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports these values, with average lows near 26–28°C and seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model runs show no significant cold-air intrusions or typhoon-related disruptions for the period, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or rainfall timing shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 24 hours could influence final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 19. August?
27°C 37%
28°C 28%
26°C 24%
25°C 11%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 28%
26°C 24%
25°C 11%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 27°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for August 19, reflecting ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models that project overnight lows of 27–28°C under persistent subtropical high humidity, scattered showers, and limited radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports these values, with average lows near 26–28°C and seasonal outlooks calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model runs show no significant cold-air intrusions or typhoon-related disruptions for the period, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities if cloud cover or rainfall timing shifts. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 24 hours could influence final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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