Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to daytime highs of 31–32°C on August 19 under typical subtropical summer conditions with weak steering flow. Scattered showers and high humidity are expected to limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the closely matched market leaders at 31°C and 32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on precise timing and intensity of precipitation, local wind patterns, and urban heat island effects, while the modest probability for 33°C reflects occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Official observations at key stations will determine final resolution amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 19. August?
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to daytime highs of 31–32°C on August 19 under typical subtropical summer conditions with weak steering flow. Scattered showers and high humidity are expected to limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the closely matched market leaders at 31°C and 32°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on precise timing and intensity of precipitation, local wind patterns, and urban heat island effects, while the modest probability for 33°C reflects occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Official observations at key stations will determine final resolution amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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