Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 19. August?
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
48%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
1%
25°C
$99 Vol.
2%
26°C
$411 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,396 Vol.
48%
28°C
$598 Vol.
33%
29°C
$335 Vol.
7%
30°C
$123 Vol.
3%
31°C
$242 Vol.
1%
32°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,963Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,963Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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