**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Moscow's August 18 high will peak near 22–23°C under typical late-summer conditions, with modest solar heating, light southwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover limiting stronger warming.** This consensus drives the market-implied probabilities, with 22°C at 54.5% and 23°C at 41.5% reflecting the tight clustering of expected maxima. August climatology in Moscow features average daily highs near 20–23°C; current patterns show no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push temperatures higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through the morning confirm the narrow 22–23°C envelope, keeping 24°C at just 5.5% and outcomes outside 21–24°C below 2%. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and real-time station data heavily, as the day’s resolution window is now active.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
22°C 53%
23°C 43%
24°C 8%
21°C 2%
NEU
$15,642 Vol.
NEU
$15,642 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
53%
23°C
43%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 53%
23°C 43%
24°C 8%
21°C 2%
NEU
$15,642 Vol.
NEU
$15,642 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,612 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,282 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,793 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,400 Vol.
53%
23°C
$1,748 Vol.
43%
24°C
$2,161 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,179 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Moscow's August 18 high will peak near 22–23°C under typical late-summer conditions, with modest solar heating, light southwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover limiting stronger warming.**
This consensus drives the market-implied probabilities, with 22°C at 54.5% and 23°C at 41.5% reflecting the tight clustering of expected maxima. August climatology in Moscow features average daily highs near 20–23°C; current patterns show no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push temperatures higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through the morning confirm the narrow 22–23°C envelope, keeping 24°C at just 5.5% and outcomes outside 21–24°C below 2%. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and real-time station data heavily, as the day’s resolution window is now active.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$15,642Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Moscow's August 18 high will peak near 22–23°C under typical late-summer conditions, with modest solar heating, light southwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover limiting stronger warming.**
This consensus drives the market-implied probabilities, with 22°C at 54.5% and 23°C at 41.5% reflecting the tight clustering of expected maxima. August climatology in Moscow features average daily highs near 20–23°C; current patterns show no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push temperatures higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through the morning confirm the narrow 22–23°C envelope, keeping 24°C at just 5.5% and outcomes outside 21–24°C below 2%. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and real-time station data heavily, as the day’s resolution window is now active.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,642Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Moscow's August 18 high will peak near 22–23°C under typical late-summer conditions, with modest solar heating, light southwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover limiting stronger warming.** This consensus drives the market-implied probabilities, with 22°C at 54.5% and 23°C at 41.5% reflecting the tight clustering of expected maxima. August climatology in Moscow features average daily highs near 20–23°C; current patterns show no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push temperatures higher. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through the morning confirm the narrow 22–23°C envelope, keeping 24°C at just 5.5% and outcomes outside 21–24°C below 2%. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and real-time station data heavily, as the day’s resolution window is now active.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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