Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 19. August?
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 13%
35°C 8%
30°C oder niedriger
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C oder höher
1%
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 13%
35°C 8%
30°C oder niedriger
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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