Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 17 high near 70–71°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, with the cool sea breeze and morning stratus limiting daytime heating even under a weak ridge. This setup explains the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on the 70–71°F bracket while sharply discounting outcomes above 72°F. Updated afternoon observations or a temporary marine layer erosion could allow modest warming toward 72–73°F, though current guidance indicates limited potential for larger shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 17. August?
70-71°F 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
80°F oder höher <1%
$25,610 Vol.
$25,610 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
61°F oder darunter
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F oder höher
<1%
70-71°F 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
80°F oder höher <1%
$25,610 Vol.
$25,610 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
61°F oder darunter
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$775 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,215 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,645 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,509 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$5,074 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$2,864 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,529 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
80°F oder höher
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 17 high near 70–71°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, with the cool sea breeze and morning stratus limiting daytime heating even under a weak ridge. This setup explains the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on the 70–71°F bracket while sharply discounting outcomes above 72°F. Updated afternoon observations or a temporary marine layer erosion could allow modest warming toward 72–73°F, though current guidance indicates limited potential for larger shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$25,610Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 17 high near 70–71°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, with the cool sea breeze and morning stratus limiting daytime heating even under a weak ridge. This setup explains the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on the 70–71°F bracket while sharply discounting outcomes above 72°F. Updated afternoon observations or a temporary marine layer erosion could allow modest warming toward 72–73°F, though current guidance indicates limited potential for larger shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,610Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 17 high near 70–71°F, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, with the cool sea breeze and morning stratus limiting daytime heating even under a weak ridge. This setup explains the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on the 70–71°F bracket while sharply discounting outcomes above 72°F. Updated afternoon observations or a temporary marine layer erosion could allow modest warming toward 72–73°F, though current guidance indicates limited potential for larger shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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