**Forecasts from major meteorological services position 31–32°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 19, 2026.** Typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system, combined with clear skies and light winds, favor strong daytime heating along the coastal plain. Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on afternoon maxima of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean moderate extremes, keeping values from climbing much higher, while the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems supports the current consensus. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast spread, with traders assigning the bulk of weight to the 31–32°C outcomes and only minimal probability to outliers. Minor model discrepancies or small timing shifts in peak heating could still adjust the final observed maximum within this tight band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 19. August?
32°C 64%
31°C 31%
33°C 6%
30°C 3.6%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
31%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 31%
33°C 6%
30°C 3.6%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
31%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major meteorological services position 31–32°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 19, 2026.** Typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system, combined with clear skies and light winds, favor strong daytime heating along the coastal plain. Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on afternoon maxima of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean moderate extremes, keeping values from climbing much higher, while the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems supports the current consensus. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast spread, with traders assigning the bulk of weight to the 31–32°C outcomes and only minimal probability to outliers. Minor model discrepancies or small timing shifts in peak heating could still adjust the final observed maximum within this tight band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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