Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 1. August?
35°C 54%
34°C 32%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
NEU
$23,484 Vol.
NEU
$23,484 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
9%
34°C
32%
35°C
54%
36°C
10%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 32%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
NEU
$23,484 Vol.
NEU
$23,484 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,381 Vol.
9%
34°C
$7,264 Vol.
32%
35°C
$3,810 Vol.
54%
36°C
$2,199 Vol.
10%
37°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$23,484Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,484Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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