Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August high near 27°C for Istanbul under stable Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting moderate daytime heating. Long-term climatology places average August maxima around this level, while ensemble models show low variance for extremes given the absence of heat-wave setups or strong advection from hotter continental air. Trader consensus aligns closely with these data, pricing 27°C highest at 69.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26.0%, as updated model runs reinforce expectations of peak temperatures within a narrow 26–28°C window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 1. August?
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
NEU
$12,856 Vol.
NEU
$12,856 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
26%
27°C
70%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 6%
29°C 2%
NEU
$12,856 Vol.
NEU
$12,856 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$234 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$702 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,900 Vol.
26%
27°C
$4,450 Vol.
70%
28°C
$2,459 Vol.
6%
29°C
$905 Vol.
2%
30°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August high near 27°C for Istanbul under stable Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting moderate daytime heating. Long-term climatology places average August maxima around this level, while ensemble models show low variance for extremes given the absence of heat-wave setups or strong advection from hotter continental air. Trader consensus aligns closely with these data, pricing 27°C highest at 69.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26.0%, as updated model runs reinforce expectations of peak temperatures within a narrow 26–28°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$12,856Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August high near 27°C for Istanbul under stable Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting moderate daytime heating. Long-term climatology places average August maxima around this level, while ensemble models show low variance for extremes given the absence of heat-wave setups or strong advection from hotter continental air. Trader consensus aligns closely with these data, pricing 27°C highest at 69.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26.0%, as updated model runs reinforce expectations of peak temperatures within a narrow 26–28°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,856Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August high near 27°C for Istanbul under stable Mediterranean summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting moderate daytime heating. Long-term climatology places average August maxima around this level, while ensemble models show low variance for extremes given the absence of heat-wave setups or strong advection from hotter continental air. Trader consensus aligns closely with these data, pricing 27°C highest at 69.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26.0%, as updated model runs reinforce expectations of peak temperatures within a narrow 26–28°C window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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