Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 26. August?
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$145 Vol.
1%
27°C
$343 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,039 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,394 Vol.
24%
30°C
$293 Vol.
40%
31°C
$434 Vol.
26%
32°C
$176 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$477 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,398Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,398Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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