Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance converges on a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 24, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–93°F brackets. Typical late-summer conditions—light southeast flow, abundant boundary-layer moisture, and scattered afternoon convection—limit daytime heating while preventing strong cooling, keeping maximum temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 90.7°F. Heat indices will climb above 100°F, but air-temperature resolution hinges on cloud cover timing and any sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflows. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to the official forecast, reflecting normal model spread and the narrow historical range for the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 24. August?
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F oder höher
<1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance converges on a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 24, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–93°F brackets. Typical late-summer conditions—light southeast flow, abundant boundary-layer moisture, and scattered afternoon convection—limit daytime heating while preventing strong cooling, keeping maximum temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 90.7°F. Heat indices will climb above 100°F, but air-temperature resolution hinges on cloud cover timing and any sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflows. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to the official forecast, reflecting normal model spread and the narrow historical range for the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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