Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Munich on August 25, driven by an incoming low-pressure system that will increase cloud cover and bring showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 23–24. Precipitation probabilities range from 37–76% across sources, with maximum temperatures suppressed by reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show minor variations in storm timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This pattern aligns with typical late-August transitions in central Europe, where frontal passages often cap highs below seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.