Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a highest temperature of 33–34°C for Lucknow on August 24 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. These factors align with the seasonal average high near 32–33°C and explain why traders have concentrated probability on 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show persistent overcast skies and rainfall suppressing temperatures below peak pre-monsoon levels, while model consensus indicates little potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that could push readings to 35°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity for final market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 24. August?
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
45%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
45%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models point to a highest temperature of 33–34°C for Lucknow on August 24 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. These factors align with the seasonal average high near 32–33°C and explain why traders have concentrated probability on 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show persistent overcast skies and rainfall suppressing temperatures below peak pre-monsoon levels, while model consensus indicates little potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that could push readings to 35°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity for final market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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