Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy conditions support modest afternoon warming from morning lows around 6-8°C, with no precipitation expected. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in peak timing and minor model variations in maximum readings, while 12°C and 14°C options capture the narrow range typical of late-winter conditions influenced by air-mass advection and surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 24. August?
13°C 47%
12°C 24%
14°C 24%
15°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
24%
13°C
47%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 47%
12°C 24%
14°C 24%
15°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
24%
13°C
47%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy conditions support modest afternoon warming from morning lows around 6-8°C, with no precipitation expected. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in peak timing and minor model variations in maximum readings, while 12°C and 14°C options capture the narrow range typical of late-winter conditions influenced by air-mass advection and surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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