Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate an overnight low reaching 0°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. A cold air mass and clear skies have driven radiative cooling overnight, consistent with recent minima near 4–9°C earlier in the month and typical August climatology for the region. Key resolution factors include the official minimum at the central observatory station. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded value slightly higher, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 23. August?
0°C 99.0%
-1°C 1.1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$4,906 Vol.
$4,906 Vol.
-2°C or below
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
99%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
0°C 99.0%
-1°C 1.1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$4,906 Vol.
$4,906 Vol.
-2°C or below
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
99%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate an overnight low reaching 0°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. A cold air mass and clear skies have driven radiative cooling overnight, consistent with recent minima near 4–9°C earlier in the month and typical August climatology for the region. Key resolution factors include the official minimum at the central observatory station. Minor model spread or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded value slightly higher, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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