Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-11-30
RZP-Zehut
81%
拉姆党
80%
Amcha Yisrael
65%
预备役军人党和新经济党
31%
蓝白党
10%
$53 交易量
RZP-Zehut
$0 交易量
81%
拉姆党
$30 交易量
80%
Amcha Yisrael
$0 交易量
65%
预备役军人党和新经济党
$0 交易量
31%
蓝白党
$53 交易量
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$53结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$53结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRecent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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