Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 election places Shas at roughly seven Knesset seats, translating to vote shares near or below 6 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing erosion among traditional supporters, driven by the party’s stance on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and competition from Otzma Yehudit, Likud, and centrist lists. Shas’s recent slate adjustments, including a reserve officer candidate, have not produced measurable polling gains. With the campaign focused on security and coalition arithmetic, current surveys show little momentum for an 8 percent or higher finish. The market’s emphasis on the lowest bracket reflects these stable but subdued indicators rather than any single late-breaking event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于6% 48%
9%及以上 40%
8-9% 25%
6-7% 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于6%
48%
6-7%
24%
7-8%
20%
8-9%
25%
9%及以上
40%
低于6% 48%
9%及以上 40%
8-9% 25%
6-7% 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于6%
$19 交易量
48%
6-7%
$0 交易量
24%
7-8%
$0 交易量
20%
8-9%
$0 交易量
25%
9%及以上
$0 交易量
40%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 election places Shas at roughly seven Knesset seats, translating to vote shares near or below 6 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing erosion among traditional supporters, driven by the party’s stance on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and competition from Otzma Yehudit, Likud, and centrist lists. Shas’s recent slate adjustments, including a reserve officer candidate, have not produced measurable polling gains. With the campaign focused on security and coalition arithmetic, current surveys show little momentum for an 8 percent or higher finish. The market’s emphasis on the lowest bracket reflects these stable but subdued indicators rather than any single late-breaking event.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$19结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 election places Shas at roughly seven Knesset seats, translating to vote shares near or below 6 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing erosion among traditional supporters, driven by the party’s stance on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and competition from Otzma Yehudit, Likud, and centrist lists. Shas’s recent slate adjustments, including a reserve officer candidate, have not produced measurable polling gains. With the campaign focused on security and coalition arithmetic, current surveys show little momentum for an 8 percent or higher finish. The market’s emphasis on the lowest bracket reflects these stable but subdued indicators rather than any single late-breaking event.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$19结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETRecent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 election places Shas at roughly seven Knesset seats, translating to vote shares near or below 6 percent. Traders appear to weigh ongoing erosion among traditional supporters, driven by the party’s stance on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and competition from Otzma Yehudit, Likud, and centrist lists. Shas’s recent slate adjustments, including a reserve officer candidate, have not produced measurable polling gains. With the campaign focused on security and coalition arithmetic, current surveys show little momentum for an 8 percent or higher finish. The market’s emphasis on the lowest bracket reflects these stable but subdued indicators rather than any single late-breaking event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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