Short-term forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Weather Prediction Center indicate a slight risk of excessive rainfall on August 10, driven by lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms expected mainly across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A weak frontal boundary and warm, humid air mass favor convective activity, with model guidance showing higher precipitation probabilities in these areas compared to drier conditions forecast for much of the Plains and West. Historical patterns for early August often feature such disorganized storm tracks under neutral ENSO influences, though rapid changes in steering flow or moisture transport can shift outcomes. Updated National Weather Service short-range models and radar trends on August 9-10 will provide the key data releases traders monitor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-11
新加坡
50%
雅加达
51%
孟买
50%
马尼拉
50%
Tokyo
50%
拉各斯
50%
曼谷
50%
香港
50%
首尔（仁川）
50%
台北
50%
科伦坡
50%
达卡
50%
吉隆坡
50%
London
50%
迪拜
50%
圣保罗
50%
悉尼
50%
$35 交易量
新加坡
$0 交易量
50%
雅加达
$0 交易量
51%
孟买
$0 交易量
50%
马尼拉
$0 交易量
50%
Tokyo
$0 交易量
50%
拉各斯
$0 交易量
50%
曼谷
$0 交易量
50%
香港
$0 交易量
50%
首尔（仁川）
$0 交易量
50%
台北
$0 交易量
50%
科伦坡
$0 交易量
50%
达卡
$0 交易量
50%
吉隆坡
$0 交易量
50%
London
$0 交易量
50%
迪拜
$35 交易量
50%
圣保罗
$0 交易量
50%
悉尼
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Short-term forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Weather Prediction Center indicate a slight risk of excessive rainfall on August 10, driven by lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms expected mainly across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A weak frontal boundary and warm, humid air mass favor convective activity, with model guidance showing higher precipitation probabilities in these areas compared to drier conditions forecast for much of the Plains and West. Historical patterns for early August often feature such disorganized storm tracks under neutral ENSO influences, though rapid changes in steering flow or moisture transport can shift outcomes. Updated National Weather Service short-range models and radar trends on August 9-10 will provide the key data releases traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Short-term forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Weather Prediction Center indicate a slight risk of excessive rainfall on August 10, driven by lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms expected mainly across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A weak frontal boundary and warm, humid air mass favor convective activity, with model guidance showing higher precipitation probabilities in these areas compared to drier conditions forecast for much of the Plains and West. Historical patterns for early August often feature such disorganized storm tracks under neutral ENSO influences, though rapid changes in steering flow or moisture transport can shift outcomes. Updated National Weather Service short-range models and radar trends on August 9-10 will provide the key data releases traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETShort-term forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Weather Prediction Center indicate a slight risk of excessive rainfall on August 10, driven by lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorms expected mainly across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A weak frontal boundary and warm, humid air mass favor convective activity, with model guidance showing higher precipitation probabilities in these areas compared to drier conditions forecast for much of the Plains and West. Historical patterns for early August often feature such disorganized storm tracks under neutral ENSO influences, though rapid changes in steering flow or moisture transport can shift outcomes. Updated National Weather Service short-range models and radar trends on August 9-10 will provide the key data releases traders monitor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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