Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,158 交易量
$12,158 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
$12,158 交易量
$12,158 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$7,595 交易量
90%
民主党
$4,562 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,158结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,158结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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