The Democratic nominee Cait Conley leads Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in trader pricing for New York’s 17th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s narrow 2024 Republican margin, its slight Democratic tilt in presidential voting, and the typical midterm environment favoring the opposition party. Conley, an Army veteran who won a competitive June primary, faces Lawler in a Hudson Valley swing district encompassing Rockland, Putnam, and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties. Recent polling shows a tight general election contest, with forecasters rating the race a toss-up or lean Republican. High spending and early campaign events, including an August forum, underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
67%
共和党
33%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,063 交易量
67%
共和党
$5,800 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Cait Conley leads Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in trader pricing for New York’s 17th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s narrow 2024 Republican margin, its slight Democratic tilt in presidential voting, and the typical midterm environment favoring the opposition party. Conley, an Army veteran who won a competitive June primary, faces Lawler in a Hudson Valley swing district encompassing Rockland, Putnam, and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties. Recent polling shows a tight general election contest, with forecasters rating the race a toss-up or lean Republican. High spending and early campaign events, including an August forum, underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$9,863结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Cait Conley leads Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in trader pricing for New York’s 17th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s narrow 2024 Republican margin, its slight Democratic tilt in presidential voting, and the typical midterm environment favoring the opposition party. Conley, an Army veteran who won a competitive June primary, faces Lawler in a Hudson Valley swing district encompassing Rockland, Putnam, and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties. Recent polling shows a tight general election contest, with forecasters rating the race a toss-up or lean Republican. High spending and early campaign events, including an August forum, underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,863结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Cait Conley leads Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in trader pricing for New York’s 17th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s narrow 2024 Republican margin, its slight Democratic tilt in presidential voting, and the typical midterm environment favoring the opposition party. Conley, an Army veteran who won a competitive June primary, faces Lawler in a Hudson Valley swing district encompassing Rockland, Putnam, and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties. Recent polling shows a tight general election contest, with forecasters rating the race a toss-up or lean Republican. High spending and early campaign events, including an August forum, underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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