In Michigan’s 7th congressional district, a swing seat centered on the Lansing area, incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence in the November 3 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 by winning a three-way primary against former Ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Pre-primary polling showed Barrett holding narrow leads or statistical ties against potential Democratic opponents in this district, which features a mix of suburban, rural, and university voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing likely incorporates typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district’s recent competitive history, and Lawrence’s early general-election positioning following his primary victory. No major post-primary polls have shifted the outlook substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,127 交易量
$17,127 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
63%
共和党
36%
$17,127 交易量
$17,127 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$11,746 交易量
63%
共和党
$5,381 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan’s 7th congressional district, a swing seat centered on the Lansing area, incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence in the November 3 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 by winning a three-way primary against former Ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Pre-primary polling showed Barrett holding narrow leads or statistical ties against potential Democratic opponents in this district, which features a mix of suburban, rural, and university voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing likely incorporates typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district’s recent competitive history, and Lawrence’s early general-election positioning following his primary victory. No major post-primary polls have shifted the outlook substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,127结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan’s 7th congressional district, a swing seat centered on the Lansing area, incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence in the November 3 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 by winning a three-way primary against former Ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Pre-primary polling showed Barrett holding narrow leads or statistical ties against potential Democratic opponents in this district, which features a mix of suburban, rural, and university voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing likely incorporates typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district’s recent competitive history, and Lawrence’s early general-election positioning following his primary victory. No major post-primary polls have shifted the outlook substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,127结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan’s 7th congressional district, a swing seat centered on the Lansing area, incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence in the November 3 general election. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 by winning a three-way primary against former Ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Pre-primary polling showed Barrett holding narrow leads or statistical ties against potential Democratic opponents in this district, which features a mix of suburban, rural, and university voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing likely incorporates typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district’s recent competitive history, and Lawrence’s early general-election positioning following his primary victory. No major post-primary polls have shifted the outlook substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题