Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Zhengzhou will experience continued warm advection from subtropical air masses on August 23, supporting overnight lows of 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological late-summer patterns where regional temperatures rarely fall below seasonal averages of 22–24°C without frontal passage. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a 25°C-or-higher minimum reflects these stable conditions and recent observations showing minimal diurnal temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or prolonged clear-sky radiational cooling, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日郑州最低气温?
25°C or higher 99%
19°C 33%
17°C 29%
18°C 21%
$776 交易量
$776 交易量
15°C or below
5%
16°C
14%
17°C
29%
18°C
21%
19°C
33%
20°C
21%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
14%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
19°C 33%
17°C 29%
18°C 21%
$776 交易量
$776 交易量
15°C or below
5%
16°C
14%
17°C
29%
18°C
21%
19°C
33%
20°C
21%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
14%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Zhengzhou will experience continued warm advection from subtropical air masses on August 23, supporting overnight lows of 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological late-summer patterns where regional temperatures rarely fall below seasonal averages of 22–24°C without frontal passage. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a 25°C-or-higher minimum reflects these stable conditions and recent observations showing minimal diurnal temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or prolonged clear-sky radiational cooling, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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