Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 24 will reach 25–26°C, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow under partly clear skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 85–95% overnight and light winds of 1–3 m/s reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the 24°C climatological average for late August. Model runs show minimal spread, with 25°C favored if skies clear fully after midnight and 26°C more likely under lingering cloud cover; resolution hinges on the precise overnight low reported by Tokyo observatories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日东京气温最低？
8月24日东京气温最低？
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 10%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
7%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 10%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
$38 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C
$15 交易量
<1%
22°C
$190 交易量
2%
23°C
$602 交易量
10%
24°C
$184 交易量
7%
25°C
$461 交易量
50%
26°C
$256 交易量
41%
27°C
$149 交易量
6%
28°C
$90 交易量
6%
29°C or higher
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 24 will reach 25–26°C, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow under partly clear skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 85–95% overnight and light winds of 1–3 m/s reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the 24°C climatological average for late August. Model runs show minimal spread, with 25°C favored if skies clear fully after midnight and 26°C more likely under lingering cloud cover; resolution hinges on the precise overnight low reported by Tokyo observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,140结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 24 will reach 25–26°C, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow under partly clear skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 85–95% overnight and light winds of 1–3 m/s reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the 24°C climatological average for late August. Model runs show minimal spread, with 25°C favored if skies clear fully after midnight and 26°C more likely under lingering cloud cover; resolution hinges on the precise overnight low reported by Tokyo observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,140结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 24 will reach 25–26°C, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow under partly clear skies that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 85–95% overnight and light winds of 1–3 m/s reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the 24°C climatological average for late August. Model runs show minimal spread, with 25°C favored if skies clear fully after midnight and 26°C more likely under lingering cloud cover; resolution hinges on the precise overnight low reported by Tokyo observatories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题