Current ensemble forecasts from regional models position a 27°C overnight low as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on August 19, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average August minimums near 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or clear-sky intensification. Recent AI-enhanced guidance, including systems like Fengwu, aligns closely with conventional runs and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C while acknowledging minor uncertainties from steering flows ahead of official observational confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日上海最低气温？
8月19日上海最低气温？
27°C 61%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
33%
27°C
61%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 61%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
21°C或以下
$535 交易量
<1%
22°C
$125 交易量
<1%
23°C
$44 交易量
<1%
24°C
$49 交易量
1%
25°C
$86 交易量
5%
26°C
$706 交易量
33%
27°C
$767 交易量
61%
28°C
$237 交易量
6%
29°C
$339 交易量
2%
30°C
$62 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$311 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models position a 27°C overnight low as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on August 19, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average August minimums near 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or clear-sky intensification. Recent AI-enhanced guidance, including systems like Fengwu, aligns closely with conventional runs and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C while acknowledging minor uncertainties from steering flows ahead of official observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,262结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models position a 27°C overnight low as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on August 19, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average August minimums near 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or clear-sky intensification. Recent AI-enhanced guidance, including systems like Fengwu, aligns closely with conventional runs and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C while acknowledging minor uncertainties from steering flows ahead of official observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,262结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models position a 27°C overnight low as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on August 19, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average August minimums near 26°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or clear-sky intensification. Recent AI-enhanced guidance, including systems like Fengwu, aligns closely with conventional runs and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C while acknowledging minor uncertainties from steering flows ahead of official observational confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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