Ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the August 9 minimum temperature in New York City near 76–79°F, reflecting a warmer-than-average air mass and modest overnight radiative cooling. Light winds, elevated humidity, and possible partial cloud cover limit the drop below the seasonal normal of ~70°F, while urban heat island effects add several degrees in the city core. The near-even split between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F brackets captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence. No major frontal passages are expected before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月9日的最低温度?
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 13%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 13%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the August 9 minimum temperature in New York City near 76–79°F, reflecting a warmer-than-average air mass and modest overnight radiative cooling. Light winds, elevated humidity, and possible partial cloud cover limit the drop below the seasonal normal of ~70°F, while urban heat island effects add several degrees in the city core. The near-even split between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F brackets captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence. No major frontal passages are expected before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly clustered.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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