Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日马德里最低气温？
8月25日马德里最低气温？
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 30%
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
12%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
12%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
50%
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 30%
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
12%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$4 交易量
9%
22°C
$14 交易量
2%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$5 交易量
3%
25°C or higher
$30 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题