Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for London on September 6, with overnight readings stabilizing near that level under clearing skies and light southerly flow after early cloud. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 15°C as the daily low, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance and historical September baselines around 12°C that are being exceeded due to mild Atlantic air. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific microclimates, late-evening showers, or final observational adjustments, though model consensus shows limited spread for further cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日伦敦最低气温？
9月6日伦敦最低气温？
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,201 交易量
$9,201 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃或更高
<1%
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,201 交易量
$9,201 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$55 交易量
<1%
11°C
$65 交易量
<1%
12°C
$240 交易量
<1%
13°C
$426 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,988 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,546 交易量
100%
16°C
$2,522 交易量
<1%
17°C
$152 交易量
<1%
18°C
$65 交易量
<1%
19℃
$65 交易量
<1%
20℃或更高
$75 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for London on September 6, with overnight readings stabilizing near that level under clearing skies and light southerly flow after early cloud. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 15°C as the daily low, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance and historical September baselines around 12°C that are being exceeded due to mild Atlantic air. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific microclimates, late-evening showers, or final observational adjustments, though model consensus shows limited spread for further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,201结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for London on September 6, with overnight readings stabilizing near that level under clearing skies and light southerly flow after early cloud. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 15°C as the daily low, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance and historical September baselines around 12°C that are being exceeded due to mild Atlantic air. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific microclimates, late-evening showers, or final observational adjustments, though model consensus shows limited spread for further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,201结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for London on September 6, with overnight readings stabilizing near that level under clearing skies and light southerly flow after early cloud. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 15°C as the daily low, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance and historical September baselines around 12°C that are being exceeded due to mild Atlantic air. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific microclimates, late-evening showers, or final observational adjustments, though model consensus shows limited spread for further cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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