Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 23 due to current forecast models aligning closely with late-monsoon climatology. August averages show overnight lows typically between 26–27°C amid high humidity and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that could push minima lower. This supports the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, with modest odds on 26°C reflecting minor forecast variability in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs near resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日卡拉奇的最低温度？
8月23日卡拉奇的最低温度？
27°C 73%
26°C 17%
25°C 9%
24°C 1.0%
$1,739 交易量
$1,739 交易量
2026-08-23
22°C或更低
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 73%
26°C 17%
25°C 9%
24°C 1.0%
$1,739 交易量
$1,739 交易量
2026-08-23
22°C或更低
$164 交易量
<1%
23°C
$21 交易量
1%
24°C
$39 交易量
1%
25°C
$30 交易量
9%
26°C
$30 交易量
17%
27°C
$185 交易量
75%
28°C
$255 交易量
<1%
29°C
$361 交易量
<1%
30°C
$220 交易量
<1%
31°C
$184 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$250 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 23 due to current forecast models aligning closely with late-monsoon climatology. August averages show overnight lows typically between 26–27°C amid high humidity and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that could push minima lower. This supports the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, with modest odds on 26°C reflecting minor forecast variability in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs near resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,739结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 23 due to current forecast models aligning closely with late-monsoon climatology. August averages show overnight lows typically between 26–27°C amid high humidity and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that could push minima lower. This supports the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, with modest odds on 26°C reflecting minor forecast variability in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs near resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,739结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 23 due to current forecast models aligning closely with late-monsoon climatology. August averages show overnight lows typically between 26–27°C amid high humidity and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky enhancements that could push minima lower. This supports the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, with modest odds on 26°C reflecting minor forecast variability in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs near resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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