Persistent summer heat and high humidity in Houston continue to anchor trader sentiment around typical August overnight lows near 77–81°F, with recent model consensus from NOAA showing minimal cooling ahead of August 24 despite a tropical moisture surge. Elevated probabilities on 69°F or below reflect uncertainty from potential heavy rainfall or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while the 80–81°F and 88°F+ buckets capture scenarios of continued clear, sultry conditions or localized heat retention. Forecasters note the current steering patterns and sea-breeze dynamics as key variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees, with updated National Weather Service guidance expected to clarify intensification risks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日休斯顿最低温度?
69°F或更低 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F或更高 26%
78-79°F 21%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F或更高
26%
69°F或更低 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F或更高 26%
78-79°F 21%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F或更高
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent summer heat and high humidity in Houston continue to anchor trader sentiment around typical August overnight lows near 77–81°F, with recent model consensus from NOAA showing minimal cooling ahead of August 24 despite a tropical moisture surge. Elevated probabilities on 69°F or below reflect uncertainty from potential heavy rainfall or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while the 80–81°F and 88°F+ buckets capture scenarios of continued clear, sultry conditions or localized heat retention. Forecasters note the current steering patterns and sea-breeze dynamics as key variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees, with updated National Weather Service guidance expected to clarify intensification risks before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题