Current forecasts from European models and the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 1 likely between 11–14 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes due to modest spread in overnight cooling projections. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and radiative cooling under clearer intervals overnight will primarily determine how far temperatures drop below the daytime high near 18–20 °C, moderated by proximity to the Baltic Sea. Historical averages place the September 1 low at 11.6 °C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows slightly above-normal conditions amid weak synoptic forcing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer humidity and wind forecasts, represent the key data releases that could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the 00:00–06:00 local minimum window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日赫尔辛基最低气温？
9月1日赫尔辛基最低气温？
18°C or higher 37%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C or below
1%
9°C
22%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
19%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
37%
18°C or higher 37%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C or below
$144 交易量
1%
9°C
$20 交易量
22%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$20 交易量
2%
17°C
$10 交易量
8%
18°C or higher
$140 交易量
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models and the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 1 likely between 11–14 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes due to modest spread in overnight cooling projections. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and radiative cooling under clearer intervals overnight will primarily determine how far temperatures drop below the daytime high near 18–20 °C, moderated by proximity to the Baltic Sea. Historical averages place the September 1 low at 11.6 °C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows slightly above-normal conditions amid weak synoptic forcing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer humidity and wind forecasts, represent the key data releases that could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the 00:00–06:00 local minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$334结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models and the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 1 likely between 11–14 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes due to modest spread in overnight cooling projections. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and radiative cooling under clearer intervals overnight will primarily determine how far temperatures drop below the daytime high near 18–20 °C, moderated by proximity to the Baltic Sea. Historical averages place the September 1 low at 11.6 °C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows slightly above-normal conditions amid weak synoptic forcing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer humidity and wind forecasts, represent the key data releases that could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the 00:00–06:00 local minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$334结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European models and the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 1 likely between 11–14 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes due to modest spread in overnight cooling projections. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and radiative cooling under clearer intervals overnight will primarily determine how far temperatures drop below the daytime high near 18–20 °C, moderated by proximity to the Baltic Sea. Historical averages place the September 1 low at 11.6 °C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows slightly above-normal conditions amid weak synoptic forcing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer humidity and wind forecasts, represent the key data releases that could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the 00:00–06:00 local minimum window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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