**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major European models place Helsinki’s expected daily maximum for September 1 in the narrow 18–20 °C range, with most guidance centering on 19 °C.** This keeps the Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched between 19 °C (36 %) and 20 °C (35 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual tail risk from model spread. Key drivers include southwesterly flow advecting relatively mild maritime air, modest insolation under mostly cloudy skies, and scattered light showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble members differ mainly on the timing and coverage of any rain and the exact degree of cloud thinning during peak heating hours, producing the small but decisive spread between a 19 °C and 20 °C peak at the official measurement site. Historical climatology for early September (roughly 17–19 °C average high) provides context, but current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth that is still sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and radiative forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
9月1日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
21°C 13%
18℃ 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18℃
10%
19°C
36%
20°C
35%
21°C
13%
22°C
4%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
21°C 13%
18℃ 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
13°C或以下
$164 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$30 交易量
2%
17°C
$5 交易量
5%
18℃
$61 交易量
10%
19°C
$144 交易量
36%
20°C
$96 交易量
35%
21°C
$268 交易量
13%
22°C
$72 交易量
4%
23°C或更高
$57 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major European models place Helsinki’s expected daily maximum for September 1 in the narrow 18–20 °C range, with most guidance centering on 19 °C.** This keeps the Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched between 19 °C (36 %) and 20 °C (35 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual tail risk from model spread.
Key drivers include southwesterly flow advecting relatively mild maritime air, modest insolation under mostly cloudy skies, and scattered light showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble members differ mainly on the timing and coverage of any rain and the exact degree of cloud thinning during peak heating hours, producing the small but decisive spread between a 19 °C and 20 °C peak at the official measurement site. Historical climatology for early September (roughly 17–19 °C average high) provides context, but current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth that is still sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and radiative forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$896结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major European models place Helsinki’s expected daily maximum for September 1 in the narrow 18–20 °C range, with most guidance centering on 19 °C.** This keeps the Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched between 19 °C (36 %) and 20 °C (35 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual tail risk from model spread.
Key drivers include southwesterly flow advecting relatively mild maritime air, modest insolation under mostly cloudy skies, and scattered light showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble members differ mainly on the timing and coverage of any rain and the exact degree of cloud thinning during peak heating hours, producing the small but decisive spread between a 19 °C and 20 °C peak at the official measurement site. Historical climatology for early September (roughly 17–19 °C average high) provides context, but current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth that is still sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and radiative forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$896结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major European models place Helsinki’s expected daily maximum for September 1 in the narrow 18–20 °C range, with most guidance centering on 19 °C.** This keeps the Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched between 19 °C (36 %) and 20 °C (35 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual tail risk from model spread. Key drivers include southwesterly flow advecting relatively mild maritime air, modest insolation under mostly cloudy skies, and scattered light showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble members differ mainly on the timing and coverage of any rain and the exact degree of cloud thinning during peak heating hours, producing the small but decisive spread between a 19 °C and 20 °C peak at the official measurement site. Historical climatology for early September (roughly 17–19 °C average high) provides context, but current short-range guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth that is still sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and radiative forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题