Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日北京气温最高？
8月30日北京气温最高？
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 交易量
$54,330 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 交易量
$54,330 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$1,247 交易量
<1%
27°C
$450 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,616 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,026 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,501 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,030 交易量
<1%
32°C
$12,368 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,025 交易量
<1%
34°C
$8,204 交易量
100%
35°C
$7,757 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$7,106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$54,330结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,330结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTraders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Beijing on August 30 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models show this exact maximum under stable atmospheric conditions. Late-August climatology for the region typically features daytime peaks of 31–35°C with limited diurnal variability, and current observations confirm no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong fronts or urban heat-island amplification that would shift the reading. With the trading day nearly complete, resolution depends on the final verified station measurement, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments or data-quality flags emerge—scenarios that remain statistically rare for this market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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