Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 35°C in Taipei on August 30 under typical late-summer conditions, with strong diurnal heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective thundershowers that cap further warming. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for 35°C, as traders converge on the authoritative station data and model consensus that has held steady in recent updates. Historical August baselines near 32°C and the absence of anomalous high-pressure ridging support this outcome. A shift in steering flow allowing prolonged clear skies or delayed convection could push readings higher, while earlier or heavier rainfall might keep the peak at 34°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日台北气温最高?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,067 交易量
$39,067 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,067 交易量
$39,067 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 35°C in Taipei on August 30 under typical late-summer conditions, with strong diurnal heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective thundershowers that cap further warming. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for 35°C, as traders converge on the authoritative station data and model consensus that has held steady in recent updates. Historical August baselines near 32°C and the absence of anomalous high-pressure ridging support this outcome. A shift in steering flow allowing prolonged clear skies or delayed convection could push readings higher, while earlier or heavier rainfall might keep the peak at 34°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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