Official observations from MetService and Wellington stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies with northerly winds, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This value sits several degrees above the August climatological average high near 13–14°C, driven by a transient warm advection pattern ahead of an approaching cold front. Real-time reports showing peaks near 17°C and model guidance converging on similar readings reinforced trader confidence in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc adjustment from the official recording station or a discrepancy in how the highest hourly versus daily maximum is defined for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日惠灵顿的最高温度?
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 交易量
$81,437 交易量
18°C
100%
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 交易量
$81,437 交易量
18°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official observations from MetService and Wellington stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies with northerly winds, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This value sits several degrees above the August climatological average high near 13–14°C, driven by a transient warm advection pattern ahead of an approaching cold front. Real-time reports showing peaks near 17°C and model guidance converging on similar readings reinforced trader confidence in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc adjustment from the official recording station or a discrepancy in how the highest hourly versus daily maximum is defined for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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