Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting numerical models show a daytime maximum of 22–23°C across London on August 30, driven by a southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatology and recent observational trends, producing the market's strong 96.5% implied probability on 23°C as the official high. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station; brief clearing or localized variations in rainfall timing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C, though model consensus and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日伦敦气温最高？
8月30日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 96%
24°C 1.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$74,925 交易量
$74,925 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
96%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 96%
24°C 1.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$74,925 交易量
$74,925 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
$1,030 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,027 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,072 交易量
<1%
20°C
$4,882 交易量
<1%
21°C
$13,356 交易量
<1%
22°C
$14,742 交易量
<1%
23°C
$11,934 交易量
96%
24°C
$8,939 交易量
2%
25°C
$8,229 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,531 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting numerical models show a daytime maximum of 22–23°C across London on August 30, driven by a southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatology and recent observational trends, producing the market's strong 96.5% implied probability on 23°C as the official high. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station; brief clearing or localized variations in rainfall timing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C, though model consensus and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$74,925结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting numerical models show a daytime maximum of 22–23°C across London on August 30, driven by a southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatology and recent observational trends, producing the market's strong 96.5% implied probability on 23°C as the official high. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station; brief clearing or localized variations in rainfall timing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C, though model consensus and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,925结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecasts from the Met Office and supporting numerical models show a daytime maximum of 22–23°C across London on August 30, driven by a southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatology and recent observational trends, producing the market's strong 96.5% implied probability on 23°C as the official high. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded at the designated station; brief clearing or localized variations in rainfall timing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C, though model consensus and current conditions make such deviations unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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