**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.** Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection. The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
8月30日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,784 交易量
$30,784 交易量
2026-08-30
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,784 交易量
$30,784 交易量
2026-08-30
14°C或以下
$131 交易量
<1%
15°C
$228 交易量
<1%
16°C
$188 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,120 交易量
<1%
18°C
$6,505 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5,417 交易量
<1%
20°C
$10,647 交易量
100%
21°C
$4,715 交易量
<1%
22°C
$461 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,175 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$195 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.**
Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection.
The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$30,784结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.**
Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection.
The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,784结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.** Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection. The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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