Recent forecast guidance from European models points to a low of 13–15°C in Helsinki on August 31 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions 11–14°C outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the moderating effect of Atlantic air masses. Historical August minima near 12°C provide context, yet current ensemble spreads and the proximity of resolution allow for modest downward revisions if heavier rain or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日赫尔辛基最低气温?
14°C 50%
17°C 47%
13°C 27%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
-
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
47%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
17°C 47%
13°C 27%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
-
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
47%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from European models points to a low of 13–15°C in Helsinki on August 31 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions 11–14°C outcomes as the strongest market-implied probabilities, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the moderating effect of Atlantic air masses. Historical August minima near 12°C provide context, yet current ensemble spreads and the proximity of resolution allow for modest downward revisions if heavier rain or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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