Persistent cloud cover, morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Chicago area are capping daytime heating on August 30, keeping official National Weather Service forecasts centered on the lower 80s amid breezy southwesterly flow. These conditions, including 70-80% precipitation chances and gusts to 30 mph, limit solar insolation and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 82-85°F rather than higher bins. With the climatological average high near 81°F and model guidance showing only modest variability in storm timing and coverage, traders are weighing the precise extent of any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 84-85°F versus sustained suppression holding the peak at 82-83°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the afternoon will refine this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月30日最高气温？
芝加哥8月30日最高气温？
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 8%
$25,373 交易量
$25,373 交易量
2026-08-30
华氏77度或以下
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96华氏度或更高
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 8%
$25,373 交易量
$25,373 交易量
2026-08-30
华氏77度或以下
$3,343 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,366 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$2,402 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$3,673 交易量
41%
84-85°F
$3,705 交易量
37%
86-87°F
$5,288 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$3,015 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$1,768 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$132 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$328 交易量
<1%
96华氏度或更高
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Chicago area are capping daytime heating on August 30, keeping official National Weather Service forecasts centered on the lower 80s amid breezy southwesterly flow. These conditions, including 70-80% precipitation chances and gusts to 30 mph, limit solar insolation and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 82-85°F rather than higher bins. With the climatological average high near 81°F and model guidance showing only modest variability in storm timing and coverage, traders are weighing the precise extent of any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 84-85°F versus sustained suppression holding the peak at 82-83°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the afternoon will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,373结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Chicago area are capping daytime heating on August 30, keeping official National Weather Service forecasts centered on the lower 80s amid breezy southwesterly flow. These conditions, including 70-80% precipitation chances and gusts to 30 mph, limit solar insolation and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 82-85°F rather than higher bins. With the climatological average high near 81°F and model guidance showing only modest variability in storm timing and coverage, traders are weighing the precise extent of any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 84-85°F versus sustained suppression holding the peak at 82-83°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the afternoon will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,373结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Chicago area are capping daytime heating on August 30, keeping official National Weather Service forecasts centered on the lower 80s amid breezy southwesterly flow. These conditions, including 70-80% precipitation chances and gusts to 30 mph, limit solar insolation and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 82-85°F rather than higher bins. With the climatological average high near 81°F and model guidance showing only modest variability in storm timing and coverage, traders are weighing the precise extent of any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 84-85°F versus sustained suppression holding the peak at 82-83°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the afternoon will refine this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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