Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月30日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 99.6%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
$38,234 交易量
$38,234 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 99.6%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
$38,234 交易量
$38,234 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
$1,177 交易量
<1%
17°C
$119 交易量
<1%
18°C
$952 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,352 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,965 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10,143 交易量
100%
22°C
$7,956 交易量
1%
23°C
$5,299 交易量
<1%
24°C
$760 交易量
<1%
25°C
$115 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,234结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,234结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题