Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
20°C 53%
19°C 41%
21°C 6%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
41%
20°C
53%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 53%
19°C 41%
21°C 6%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
15℃
$67 交易量
<1%
16°C
$311 交易量
<1%
17°C
$364 交易量
1%
18°C
$606 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,194 交易量
41%
20°C
$913 交易量
53%
21°C
$572 交易量
6%
22°C
$544 交易量
1%
23°C
$212 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,122结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,122结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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