National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 30, 2026, indicate a high near 88°F under partly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading 86-87°F (45%) and 88-89°F (32%) implied probabilities. These outcomes reflect model consensus on peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s amid southwesterly winds of 5-15 mph and potential convective cooling that could cap readings below the seasonal normal of 85-90°F. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs show limited risk of exceeding 90°F due to moisture and cloud cover, while lower bins remain improbable given current surface conditions and diurnal heating patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations near resolution will further refine trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日丹佛的最高温度?
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 4%
$10,915 交易量
$10,915 交易量
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 4%
$10,915 交易量
$10,915 交易量
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 30, 2026, indicate a high near 88°F under partly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading 86-87°F (45%) and 88-89°F (32%) implied probabilities. These outcomes reflect model consensus on peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s amid southwesterly winds of 5-15 mph and potential convective cooling that could cap readings below the seasonal normal of 85-90°F. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs show limited risk of exceeding 90°F due to moisture and cloud cover, while lower bins remain improbable given current surface conditions and diurnal heating patterns. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations near resolution will further refine trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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