**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Busan on August 23 due to consistent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models projecting overnight minima near that threshold.** Typical late-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses with minimal nocturnal cooling, producing lows of 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with climatological averages of around 24°C. Recent model runs show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to push temperatures lower, while daytime heating and marine influence sustain elevated readings. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects, revised model outputs, or unexpected precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble agreement support the dominant market-implied outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日釜山气温最低？
8月23日釜山气温最低？
25°C 99.4%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$3,354 交易量
$3,354 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.4%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$3,354 交易量
$3,354 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$230 交易量
<1%
21°C
$137 交易量
1%
22°C
$632 交易量
<1%
23°C
$449 交易量
<1%
24°C
$85 交易量
<1%
25°C
$334 交易量
99%
26°C
$452 交易量
<1%
27°C
$369 交易量
<1%
28°C
$317 交易量
<1%
29°C
$165 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Busan on August 23 due to consistent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models projecting overnight minima near that threshold.** Typical late-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses with minimal nocturnal cooling, producing lows of 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with climatological averages of around 24°C. Recent model runs show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to push temperatures lower, while daytime heating and marine influence sustain elevated readings. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects, revised model outputs, or unexpected precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble agreement support the dominant market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,354结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Busan on August 23 due to consistent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models projecting overnight minima near that threshold.** Typical late-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses with minimal nocturnal cooling, producing lows of 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with climatological averages of around 24°C. Recent model runs show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to push temperatures lower, while daytime heating and marine influence sustain elevated readings. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects, revised model outputs, or unexpected precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble agreement support the dominant market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,354结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Busan on August 23 due to consistent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models projecting overnight minima near that threshold.** Typical late-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses with minimal nocturnal cooling, producing lows of 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with climatological averages of around 24°C. Recent model runs show no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to push temperatures lower, while daytime heating and marine influence sustain elevated readings. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects, revised model outputs, or unexpected precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble agreement support the dominant market-implied outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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