**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日奥斯汀最低气温？
8月30日奥斯汀最低气温？
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 9%
67°F或以下 9%
68-69°F 4.1%
$1,595 交易量
$1,595 交易量
2026-08-30
67°F或以下
9%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
94%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 9%
67°F或以下 9%
68-69°F 4.1%
$1,595 交易量
$1,595 交易量
2026-08-30
67°F或以下
$33 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$236 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$11 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$218 交易量
94%
74-75°F
$316 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$214 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$120 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$130 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$152 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$103 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$65 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling.
A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,595结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling.
A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,595结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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